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This Week’s Missing Links, November 3

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A view of the changed coastline in New Jersey. Photo:

Instead of gathering a widespread assortment of the week's best articles, videos, and photos, I've included the most thought-provoking and eye-opening articles on Sandy and her aftermath. Some are snapshots of people and places, others take a look at the science of the storm, and some take a look at the political effects of a storm that has caused tens of billions of dollars in damage and more than 150 deaths internationally. The articles begin with a blog posted on October 24.

Please share the best articles you've read about Sandy in the comments section.

For the best longreads of the week, check out “Weekend Reading: Eyes Open.”

OCTOBER 24
“,” Capital Weather Gang

The deterministic runs from the various global models continue to
diverge, with some still showing a track out to sea (GFS and CMC) and
some showing a more northerly track into the northeast U.S. coast (ECMWF
and NOGAPS). Its unclear yet which will verify, if any, but the
ensembles have been trending westward, with more members now showing a
very powerful cyclone (probably not completely tropical) slamming into
the mid-Atlantic and Northeast states.

The ominous forecast by last nights ECMWF deterministic run places
an incredibly strong cyclone off the New Jersey coast on Monday
evening … with tropical storm to hurricane force winds covering every
state between Virginia and Maine (note that the wind speeds on this map
are at 5,000 altitude, not the surface). A scenario such as this would
be devastating: a huge area with destructive winds, extensive inland
flooding, possibly heavy snow on the west side, and severe coastal
flooding and erosion.

OCTOBER 25, Rosenstiel School of Marine and Atmospheric Science Blog

While there is still inherent uncertainty in the forecast, especially
considering we are at least five days away from the phase, the majority of
the numerical guidance has now come into agreement that a phasing event
will occur precisely on the 21st anniversary of the Perfect Storm
somewhere between the mid-Atlantic states through Maine or potentially
the Nova Scotia region. Most of the models now indicate even stronger
jet dynamics will occur next week than occurred during for the Perfect
Storm, and that todays storm could potentially deepen to well below 960mb or even below 950mb. The fact that the Gulf Stream is anomalously
warm for this time of year means that Sandy will weaken less as a
tropical system than it otherwise would have prior to the phase. Also, a
very strong blocking scenario (very negative NAO) has developed over
the north Atlantic means that the cyclone will be very slow moving, and
is likely to retrograde westward into the northeastern U.S. rather than
continue out to sea like most recurving extratropical cyclones do.
While it is too early to pin-down exact impacts from the system at this
time, it is likely that portions of the coastal Northeast will
experience a damaging storm surge, significant beach erosion, and a
prolonged severe wind and heavy rain event. Meanwhile, interior regions
of western Pennsylvania into Ohio may simultaneously be experiencing
heavy snowfall. Stay tuned!

OCTOBER 26
“,” Weather Underground

As it appears increasingly likely
that a Frankenstorm may hit the U.S. coast somewhere between Delaware
and Maine between October 29 and November 1 I thought I would take a
look back and see what other late season storms of this nature and
magnitude have previously affected the region.

OCTOBER 27
“,” The Guardian via Grist

[It] does worry me that the most powerful nation in the world …
denies what the rest of us can see very clearly [on climate change]. I
dont know what you do about that. Its easier to deny.

Asked what was needed to wake people up, the veteran broadcaster famous for series such as and
said: Disaster. Its a terrible thing to say, isnt it? Even disaster
doesnt do it. There have been disasters in North America, with
hurricanes and floods, yet still people deny and say oh, it has nothing
to do with climate change. It visibly has got [something] to do with
climate change.

OCTOBER 28
“,” The New York Times

The streets of this seaside town, filled on Saturday night with
trick-or-treaters dressed as witches and pumpkins, emptied swiftly on
Sunday as the storm drove water up to the beach dunes that protect the
Boardwalk.


Halloween events were cancelled. Hotels were closed. Dolles, the towns
source of saltwater taffy for 85 years, stayed open longer than any
other oceanfront shop. But the owner, Thomas Ibach, turned off the
lights at 4 p.m., a few hours before the state evacuation deadline. You
just never know, he said. He said a 1962 northeaster had wiped away
Dolles previous building.

OCTOBER 29
“,” New Yorker

A couple of weeks ago, Munich Re, one of the worlds largest reinsurance
firms, issued a study titled Severe Weather in North America.
According to the
that accompanied the report, Nowhere in the world is the rising number
of natural catastrophes more evident than in North America. The number
of what Munich Re refers to as weather-related loss events, and what
the rest of us would probably call weather-related disasters, has
quintupled over the last three decades. While many factors have
contributed to this trend, including an increase in the number of people
living in flood-prone areas, the report identified global warming as
one of the major culprits: Climate change particularly affects
formation of heat-waves, droughts, intense precipitation events, and in
the long run most probably also tropical cyclone intensity.

“',” Washington Post

Almost three years after an earthquake devastated Haiti, 370,000
people are still living in the tent camps that became their homes.

Now, some have lost even that. Haitian officials say that 18,000 families living in tent camps have been by Hurricane Sandy, which has killed 52 there since making landfall last week.

The number of casualties may continue rising, as aid workers have
found 86 new cases of cholera just in the earthquake survivor camps of
capital city Port-au-Prince. A cholera outbreak that began after the
quake has killed an estimated 7,400 since October 2010.

OCTOBER 30
“,” The New York Times

,
in the wily and savage way of natural disasters, expressed its full
assortment of lethal methods as it hit the East Coast on Monday night.
In its howling sweep, the authorities said the storm claimed at least 40
lives in eight states.


They were infants and adolescents, people embarking on careers and those
looking back on themthe ones who paid the ultimate price of this
most destructive of storms. In Franklin Township, Pennsylvania, an eight-year-old boy
was crushed by a tree when he ran outside to check on his familys
calves. A woman died in Somerset County, Pennsylvania, when her car slid off a
snowy road.


There were 22 deaths reported in New York City, where the toll was
heaviest, and five more fatalities elsewhere in the state.


Most of all, it was the trees. Uprooted or cracked by the furious winds,
they became weapons that flattened cars, houses and pedestrians. But
also, a woman was killed by a severed power line. A man was swept by
flooding waters out of his house and through the glass of a store. The
power blinked off for a 75-year-old woman on a respirator, and a heart
attack killed her.

,” New Yorker

Virginia Rossano is 17 years old and has been suffering from
epileptic seizures since she was six. She and her family live north of
Boston. After consulting with Orrin Devinsky, a renowned neurologist and
epilepsy specialist at the N.Y.U. Langone Medical Center, the Rossanos
decided to pursue a surgical course for their daughter. Virginia and her
mother, Cathy, came to N.Y.U. last week, and on Thursday Virginia
underwent a craniotomy. Surgeons removed skull tissue and connected
electrodes to the brain to monitor her brain functions. The next step
was to wean Virginia from her medications and induce a seizure. Doctors
could then locate the source of the seizures and remove the offending
tissue. Dr. Devinsky said that surgery could be a home run for us,
Cathy Rossano told me.


Then came Hurricane Sandy.

“,” The Columbia Journalism Review

It should come as no surprise that as Hurricane Sandy spiraled up the
eastern seaboard, a variety of media outlets sought to explain the
so-called super storms relationship to climate change. A few did well,
but generalizations about extreme weather continue to mar this type of
coverage.

Take Rebecca Lebers
to bash the press for ignoring climate change at Climate Progress.
Despite the hysteria surrounding Hurricane Sandy, she wrote, not one
major newspaper has reported the scientifically established link that
carbon pollution fuels more extreme weather.


That assertion about an established link is misleading. In reality, climate change fuels some extreme weather in some places, and the links are not very well understood.

OCTOBER 31
“?” Rosenstiel School of Marine and Atmospheric Science Blog

While Sandy was both historic and disastrous for the Northeast, there
was one other historic side of the story that is actually positive: the
forecasts for the track of Sandy were spot-on.

“,” The New York Times

In the early days of Twitter, there was a very big debate about whether
reporters should break news on Twitter. That debate now seems quaint.
Plenty of short-burst nuggets of news went out from reporters on Twitter
on Monday night and they were quickly followed by more developed
reports on-air or on the Web. There were abundant news posts from of Reuters, of NPR and
of
The New York Times, among many others, but there were also tweets
from ordinary people relaying very important information about their
blocks, their neighborhoods, their boroughs. I knew what was happening
to many of my friends as far away as the District of Columbia and as
close as the guy up the block. There is no more important news than
that.

NOVEMBER 1
“,” The New York Times

Mr. Bloomberg, a political independent in his third term leading New
York City, has been sharply critical of Mr. Obama, a Democrat, and Mitt
Romney, the presidents Republican rival, saying that both men had
failed to candidly confront the problems afflicting the nation. But he
said he had decided over the past several days that Mr. Obama was the
better candidate to tackle the global
that he believes might have contributed to the violent storm, which
took the lives of at least 38 New Yorkers and caused billions of dollars
in damage.


The devastation that Hurricane Sandy brought to New York City and much
of the Northeastin lost lives, lost homes and lost businessbrought
the stakes of next Tuesdays presidential election into sharp relief,
Mr. Bloomberg for Bloomberg View.


Our climate is changing, he wrote. And while the increase in extreme
weather we have experienced in New York City and around the world may or
may not be the result of it, the risk that it may begiven the
devastation it is wreakingshould be enough to compel all elected
leaders to take immediate action.

“,” Bloomberg Businessweek

Yes, yes, its unsophisticated to blame any given storm on
climate change. Men and women in white lab coats tell usand theyre
rightthat many factors contribute to each severe weather episode.
Climate deniers exploit scientific complexity to avoid any discussion at
all.

Clarity, however, is not beyond reach. Hurricane Sandy
demands it: At least 40 U.S. deaths. Economic losses expected to climb
as high as $50泭billion. Eight million homes without power. Hundreds of
thousands of people evacuated. More than 15,000 flights grounded.
Factories, stores, and hospitals shut. Lower Manhattan dark, silent, and
underwater.

“,” Dot Earth

For millions of people in the New York metropolitan region and adjacent areas by the extraordinary hybrid storm once known as Sandy, arguments about are secondary.

Arguments about while importantare down the list, as well, even with a
presidential election days away. After all, that debate is perennial.
(Go ; plug in hurricanes where you see drought and the pattern will feel familiar.)

While
scientists and campaigners debate what mix of factors shaped this epic
storm, whats indisputable is that much of the disaster that unfolded as
it came ashore was the result of human actions and decisionsranging
from where weve chosen to build or subsidize development to how
seriously our governments take the need to build with the worst in mind
(as always, of course, with budgets in mind).

This post is
truncated by the troubles Im having getting online in a blacked-out
part of the Hudson Valley, but I want at least to start a discussion of
the prime question of the moment: What are the political, economic,
societal and personal traits that caused one of the worlds wealthiest
and most sophisticated cities to end up () with flooded tunnels, subways and neighborhoods and widespread flood-triggered loss of electricity?

NOVEMBER 2
Waiting for Someone to Call,” 窪蹋勛圖厙

In the post-Sandy recovery, these juxtapositions are truly alarming.
Downtown Brooklyn is alive and happening; Coney Island, seven miles
away, is a set from
The Day After Tomorrow. North of Montauk
Highway, which runs west-to-east on Long Island, its business as
usualbagel shops, blue skies, box storesonly with less gas, dark
traffic lights, and more kids on the street, since schools are closed.
South of Montauk, where numerous canals and inlets divvy the shore up
into miniature peninsulas, trees lie on power lines, boats sit askew in
yards, and the National Guard stands watch. On Wednesday, in many
places, standing water still surrounded houses.

“,” The New York Times

Elsewhere in the building, Sandra Leon, 35, a mother of two, kept an eye
on her door fearing another attempted break-in. Victor Alvarez, 60,
waited for any word of his wife, Lucet, who suffers from schizophrenia
and had disappeared into the wreckage-strewed neighborhood. And Marilyn
Smalls, 48, sipped a room-temperature Corona that she had liberated from
a gas-station trash bin the day before, along with sodas and bags of
beef jerkywhich drew neighbors knocking, as word of the haul got out.


Perhaps more so than in any other place in the city, the loss of power
for people living in public housing projects forced a return to a primal
existence. Opened fire hydrants became community wells. Sleep-and-wake
cycles were timed to sunsets and sunrises. People huddled for warmth
around lighted gas stoves as if they were roaring fires. Darkness became
menacing, a thing to be feared.

“,” Star-Ledger

For all of Hurricanes Sandys power and fury, it also spawned a
silent killer that could become one of the storms deadliest legacies.

Carbon monoxide poisoning has claimed at least five lives in New
Jersey since Monday, mostly from the fumes of gas- or diesel-powered
generators.

NOVEMBER 3
“,” CNN

On her way to pick up her New York City Marathon bib number Friday,
longtime New Yorker Lauren Mandel was having second thoughts of running
in the iconic race.

Just four days after
Superstorm Sandy hit her city, she was wracked by a knot in her stomach
as she got closer to the convention center serving as the hub for race
participants.

“Walking past …
generators heating up tents for people to eat pasta tomorrow night when
there are people who haven't eaten a hot meal in five days” left her
with the feeling: “This is so inappropriate and this is so wrong,” she
said.

“,” The Associated Press

“,” The New York Times

Some New Jersey voters may find their hurricane-damaged polling sites
replaced by military trucks, within the words of the states
lieutenant governor, Kim Guadagnoa well-situated national guardsman
and a big sign saying, Vote Here. Half of the polling sites in
Nassau County on Long Island still lacked power on Friday. And New York
City was planning to build temporary polling sites in tents in some of
its worst-hit neighborhoods.

Joe Spring

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